The war in Ukraine: – British intelligence: a big difference

British military intelligence estimates that the Russian occupation force in Ukraine is as strong this year as it was last year.

They report it themselves His daily intelligence report on Twitter.

On paper, Russia’s combined ground forces in Ukraine are organized similarly to last year’s invasion force. It may still consist of more than 200,000 soldiers, distributed among about 70 regiments, and battalions spread across five battle groups. They still struggle with limited freedom to carry out operations. air, “wrote the British intelligence agency.

“poor training”

The fundamental difference between the invasion force that failed to take Kiev last year and the current occupying force that suffered defeat after defeat last year is the difference, according to the British authorities.

“In February 2022, the Russian Ground Forces consisted of professional soldiers. They were largely equipped with relatively modern vehicles, were training regularly and were hoping to carry out complex operations across the various branches of defense.”

Now the situation is completely different.

“Russian forces are now made up of poorly trained conscripts, increasingly relying on outdated equipment. Almost routinely, they only perform very simple infantry operations,” she says.

Improvement ‘unlikely’

British intelligence believes that it is also unlikely that the Russian authorities have a military flair up their sleeve.

“It is unlikely that the Russian ground forces will be able to raise a large, capable and mobile reserve that can respond to the challenges that will arise,” the British wrote.

It also seems unlikely that the Russian defense forces will be able to significantly improve their forces in a short time.

“A military organization is effectively exerting large-scale pressure on the 1,200-kilometer front line,” the intelligence service wrote.