Despite some progress, the expected major offensive failed.
The former defense chief, Ambassador Diesen, now a researcher at the Norwegian Defense Research Establishment, believes the war could have been done better.
– If we in the West are planning such an operation, which creates the result that Russia wants in the Donbass, then we will plan it in a different way.
Reminiscent of the First World War
He says that one will do what is often mentioned in the Western media. Specifically, he tried to intercept the entire Donbass with attacks from the north and south, that is, a pincer operation.
– Created a large enclave where the Ukrainian defense in the Donbass would be surrounded and cut off from supplies and reinforcements.
This pattern may reveal the Russians
Dissen explains that the war we are witnessing from Russia is now old-fashioned and uncomplicated. They also attack a wide front from the north and east.
It is a fierce artillery preparation before the advance of artillery and tanks, and is, strictly speaking, more reminiscent of the First World War than anything we can imagine today.
He believes that the Russians are doing this simply because they do not trust their ability to carry out more advanced and complex operations and operations.
They fall back on something that is relatively simple and doesn’t give the results they want. At least not without it costing them a lot.
Putting morning coffee in the throat
In a lengthy TV interview on Monday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said he believed it was one Real danger of World War III.
The danger is grave, real, and cannot be underestimated.
Shortly after the statement, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba commented on Lavrov’s comments on Twitter.
Russia loses its last hope of intimidating the world from supporting Ukraine. That is why they talk about the “real” danger of World War III. He writes that this only means that the smell of defeat for Moscow in Ukraine.
Russia is losing the last hope to frighten the world from supporting Ukraine. Thus the talk speaks of the “real” danger of World War III. This only means that Moscow feels defeated in Ukraine. Therefore, the world must redouble its support for Ukraine so that we can win and protect European and global security.
– DmytroKuleba 25 April 2022
Dessen believes that the statements of the Russian Foreign Minister indicate the lack of progress.
There is enough reason to take it seriously. Not about the danger of a third world war, but about how seriously the Russians are now about not making progress in Ukraine.
Therefore, they need to do something with Western support for Ukraine, which in many ways keeps them in the war, explains the former defense minister.
– Then this phrase, of course, comes as an attempt for people to do more than put their morning coffee in the throat. Specifically, to be so frightened and worried that the Ukraine support agreement is collapsing.
– Does this statement from Lavrov have anything to do with how NATO works?
– I hope not. Because it is clear that the Russians have no more to gain from a third world war than others. We can only hope that the unity and unity of the West will pass that test.
A clear message for Western strategy
Lavrov also believes in the same interview that NATO is exacerbating the conflict in Ukraine, including the delivery of weapons. He claims NATO Has ‘All Gasoline Burns’.
Diesen makes it clear that it is not NATO that contributes to Ukraine’s support with weapons, but each country individually through bilateral relations.
I think the West should in many ways now stop allowing moral outrage to govern its support for Ukraine, every time war crimes or Russian abuses are exposed.
– I think the West has to decide to a large extent what it wants the outcome of this war to be, continues Dessen.
Obviously, the goal should be to ensure that Russia does not win the war, but he emphasizes that this does not necessarily mean that it will lose.
– It is the end goal that must govern the Western strategy. Not as yet with a gradual increase in support, as a result of an increasingly strong moral judgment.
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